Back Venezuela +1 @ 1.82 in this FIFA World Cup qualification (CONMEBOL) Round 1 match.
Despite Uruguay being favored with a 61.4% win probability, Venezuela's recent lineup adjustments, including Casseres Jr, Soteldo Martinez, and Martinez Morales, could lead to a competitive match.
Uruguay, with Bentancur back in the starting XI replacing Varela, faces fatigue after a short rest.
The odds movement consistently favors Venezuela, with a statistically probable score of 1:0. While the BTTS probability is 39.9%, Uruguay's clean sheet probability is at 41.4%.
Given these factors, Venezuela +1 @ 1.82 is worthwhile.
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