Ecuador is favored, but Peru +0.25 @ 1.8 suggests a potentially close FIFA World Cup qualification (CONMEBOL) Round 1 match.
SOQA Stat Engine's pick factors in Peru's fatigue after a short 4-day rest, while Ecuador is well-rested.
The most probable scores are Peru vs Ecuador = 0:1 and 0:0. Both Teams to Score probability is 36.3%. Ecuador's clean sheet probability is 43.2%, while Peru's is 20.5%.
The expected 1X2 probabilities indicate a slight edge for Ecuador (38.9%) but a draw is also likely (32.1%). Cloudy weather and temperatures between 18℃～19℃ might affect match tempo.
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