Morocco faces Benin in an International Friendly at Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, with the home side heavily favored to win. Statistically probable scores lean towards a Morocco victory, with 2-0 (16.90%), 3-0 (13.90%), and 1-0 (13.70%) being the most likely outcomes. The expected 1X2 probability gives Morocco a dominant 82.3% chance of winning, compared to Benin's slim 4.6%. The probability of both teams scoring is low at 31.5%, while Morocco’s clean sheet probability is a high 59.9%.
Morocco's starting XI features changes from their last match against Tunisia, with Munir Mohand Mohamedi El Kajoui, Zakaria El Ouahdi, Soufiane Rahimi, Ayoub El Kaabi, and Osame Sahraoui all included. Yassine Bounou, Achraf Hakimi, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Bilal El Khannouss, and Youssef En-Nesyri are not in the starting lineup. Abdessamad Ezzalzouli is unavailable due to an unknown injury.
Benin's lineup remains consistent, with Steve Mounie leading the attack. The team faces a tough challenge against a strong Morocco side. With Morocco having a match at (African Nations Championship) at Eswatini in 1 days, there might be rotation, while Benin is unlikely to rotate, as they don't have a match for at least a week.
The betting context highlights Morocco as the favorite and Benin as the underdog. Odds movement indicates a preference for UNDER in total goals and a consistent push towards the away team in handicap bets. Despite this, the recommended betting picks are Over 2.75 @ 2.0 and Morocco -1.75 @ 1.8. The Over pick has a confidence of 2.62, while the handicap pick has a confidence of 0.88. Despite the most probable scores pointing towards a low-scoring game, the Over 2.75 @ 2.0 and Morocco -1.75 @ 1.8 picks are still worthwhile considering the potential for squad rotation and attacking impetus from Morocco."
