Iceland Division 1 Round 7 sees Fjolnir, ranked 11th, host 12th-ranked UMF Selfoss. The AI model suggests UMF Selfoss +0.5 @ 1.96 is worthwhile, given the circumstances. Fjolnir enters this match as the favorite, with a 51.1% win probability, while UMF Selfoss has a 27.2% chance. A draw is predicted 21.7% of the time.
The most probable scores are 2:1 and 1:1. Despite the even rankings, Fjolnir faces fatigue, with only 4 days of rest after their previous match. This raises the possibility of squad rotation, potentially disrupting team cohesion. UMF Selfoss is in a similar situation, also playing with only 4 days rest.
The probability of both teams scoring is relatively high at 65.7%, while Fjolnir's clean sheet probability is 20.9%, and UMF Selfoss's is 13.4%. With both teams experiencing fatigue, the match could be closer than anticipated.
Neither team has famous players with starting XI changes. Given Fjolnir's fatigue and potential rotation, UMF Selfoss +0.5 @ 1.96 could be a valuable play.
