Bergnasets AIK is heavily favored to win against Boden City, but the Under 3.25 @ 1.83 and Bergnasets AIK -1 @ 1.75 offer value.
The expected probability gives Bergnasets AIK a 63.9% chance of winning, compared to Boden City's 17.0%. Despite the lopsided odds, a draw is still somewhat probable at 19.1%. The most probable scores are 2:1 and 2:0, which align with a potentially close but ultimately favored outcome for Bergnasets AIK. However, the high probability of both teams scoring at 60.1% suggests that a clean sheet for either side is less certain. Bergnasets AIK has a 29.8% chance of a clean sheet, while Boden City's is only 10.1%.
Both teams are well rested, having last played eight days ago. Bergnasets AIK's recent form is DWLLWW, while Boden City's is DWLLLL, with away form particularly poor for Boden City.
Both teams might rotate their squad due to an upcoming match in four days. The odds movement indicates a preference for a lower total goal count, and the handicap has moved in favor of Bergnasets AIK.
